Defense & International Affairs
Defense and International Affairs - General Developments:
Tues, May 26, 2026:
House rolls out $1.14 trillion defense bill. The legislation would authorize a huge rise in defense spending but also check the Pentagon’s cuts to its troop levels in Europe. - WP See bill language and summary HERE
House NDAA draft would limit Trump’s troop cuts, battleship plans - Hill
Friday, May 22, 2026:
Tues, May 19, 2026:
Thurs, May 14, 2026:
Wed, May 13, 2026:
Fri, May 1, 2026:
US withdrawing 5,000 troops from Germany - Reuters
Tues, April 28, 2026:
Thurs, April 23, 2026:
Tues, April 14, 2026:
NATO Withdrawal? Europe Is Accelerating a NATO Fallback Plan in Case Trump Pulls Out - WSJ
Mon, April 13, 2026:
‘We Finally Have Democracy’: Hungarians Erupt in Joy and Relief
Millions of people in Sudan surviving on one meal a day as food crisis deepens, NGOs say - Reuters
Sun, April 12: 2026:
Hungarians Sweep Away Orban After 16 Years in Seismic Vote - Bloomberg
Hungary Election: Orban concedes defeat to Magyar’s Tisza - Reuters
Fri, April 10, 2026:
Thurs, April 9, 2026:
Tues, April 7, 2026:
US Vice President JD Vance’s unusual campaign appearance alongside Viktor Orban in Budapest today demonstrates how important Hungary’s election is to the White House. Sunday’s ballot looks just as significant for the Kremlin.
After 16 years of Orban, polls indicate that voters have lost faith in their populist premier. - Bloomberg
Thurs, April 2, 2026:
Fri, March 27, 2026:
Tues, March 24, 2026:
Thurs, March 5, 2026:
Mon, March 2, 2026:
France offers to deploy nuclear deterrent across Europe for first time
President Emmanuel Macron lays out doctrine of ‘forward deterrence’ - FT
Tues, Feb 24, 2026:
The Looming Taiwan Chip Disaster That Silicon Valley Has Long Ignored
DoD plans to spend entire $152 billion from reconciliation bill in one year - FNN
Thurs, Feb 19, 2026:
Mon, Feb 16, 2026:
Russia’s economy has entered the death zone - Economist
Sun, Feb 15, 2026:
New START wasn’t a silver bullet, but it helped keep the world safe. Nuclear arms treaties have helped avoid a new arms race. - WP / Sen Mark Kelly
Sat, Feb 14, 2026:
The UK, Sweden, France, Germany and the Netherlands released a statement concluding that Alexei Navalny—the assassinated leader of Russia’s political opposition—was “poisoned with a lethal toxin” and “died while held in prison, meaning Russia had the means, motive and opportunity to administer this poison to him.” The statement continued: “Our Permanent Representatives to the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons have written today to the Director General to inform him of this Russian breach of the Chemical Weapons Convention. We are further concerned that Russia did not destroy all of its chemical weapons.”
Tues, Feb 10, 2026:
President Donald Trump threatened to block the Gordie Howe International Bridge from opening until Canada “fully compensated” the US. The threat followed a meeting between Howard Lutnick and Matthew Moroun, whose family owns and operates the Ambassador Bridge, a rival crossing. Trump wants Canada to give the US 50% ownership of the Gordie Howe bridge, which was paid for entirely by Canada and is largely complete. - Bloomberg
A Foreign Policy Worse Than Regime Change. The world is threatened by the president’s self-absorption and incoherence. - Atlantic / John Bolton
Mon, Feb 9, 2026:
Fri, Feb 6, 2026:
The world is a more dangerous place as New START expires and China’s nuclear arsenal grows. - WP / Zakaria
The U.S.-India relationship is back on track, but the damage is done - WP
Thurs, Feb 5, 2026:
Sun, Feb 1, 2026:
In an interview with POLITICO this morning, the president dismissed the idea that the U.N. could ever leave New York, even as senior U.N. officials warn that the organization could be forced to scale back operations and shut its New York HQ if it ran out of cash:
“I don’t think it’s appropriate. The U.N. is not leaving New York, and it’s not leaving the United States, because the U.N. has tremendous potential,” said Trump, who suggested that he could quickly reverse the organization’s financial fortunes if the agency reached out. “If they came to Trump and told him, I’d get everybody to pay up, just like I got NATO to pay up, right? All I have to do is call these countries. If the head of the U.N. would call the president of the United States, I would make the appropriate phone calls and they would send checks within minutes,” he said.
Sat, Jan 31, 2026:
Fri, Jan 30, 2026:
Thurs, Jan 29, 2026:
State Dept. abandons honor and decency:
The U.S. Embassy in Denmark removed 44 flags honoring fallen Danish soldiers for their service in Afghanistan war. - WPU.S. Territorial Expansion: Constitutional Roles of Congress, the President - CRS
Tues, Jan 27, 2026:
Board of Peace Set to Hand Trump Sweeping Powers Over Gaza. A draft resolution revealed some of the plans for the new international body, which met for the first time last week amid criticism from some U.S. allies. - NYT
Mon, Jan 26, 2026:
Fri, Jan 23, 2026:
Starmer Condemns ‘Appalling’ Trump Words on Afghanistan Role - Bloomberg
Trillions Comment: This would be idiotic for a country that already spends more on defense than the next 8 or 9 countries combined, and has a rapidly growing and unsustainable public debt that exceeds the size of our economy. Moreover, enormously expensive hardware in an age of drone warfare makes no strategic or tactical sense. Finally, the WSJ editorial board should consider that effective strategic deterrence, as well as economic stability, are built on strong international alliances—an obvious reality that somehow escapes the fiscal policy and defense officials in the current Administration.
Thurs, Jan 22, 2026:
The House barely rejected a Democratic-backed resolution that would have prevented President Donald Trump from sending U.S. military forces to Venezuela. A tied vote on the legislation fell just short of the majority needed for passage. - AP
Trump’s ‘Board of Peace’ Would Have Global Scope but One Man in Charge. The latest example of the president’s dismantling the post-World War II international system and building a new one, with himself at the center. - NYT
China Wins as Trump Cedes Leadership of the Global Economy. The president used a keynote speech at the World Economic Forum in Switzerland to renounce the last vestiges of the liberal democratic order. - NYT
Wed, Jan 21, 2026:
Trump’s latest TACO moment puts his increasingly erratic temperament in the spotlight - CNN
Europe relieved, but still on edge, after Trump’s Davos speech - Semafor
Tues, Jan 20, 2026:
Russia Is ‘Without Question’ a Threat in the Arctic, Carney Says - Bloomberg
Carney stated that Canada has a 365-day air, sea and land presence in the Arctic and is adding to its submarine fleet, air fighter fleet, and building out over-the-horizon radar to protect from Russian missile threats. Carney said security concerns about Greenland and the Arctic can be effectively dealt with through North Atlantic Treaty Organization members, and that measures taken by Nordic countries, the UK, Canada, and other members must be reinforced in a comprehensive way.Canada’s prime minister delivered an impassioned speech on what he called the rupture of the world order. - Reuters
Mon, Jan 19, 2026:
Trump plans to charge $1 billion for permanent seat on ‘Board of Peace.’ Details about the Trump-led board have prompted speculation that it could be a U.S.-led U.N. alternative. Vladimir Putin was invited to join, the Kremlin said. - WP
Sun, Jan 18, 2026:
Recall that during his first term, Trump’s comments about Kim Jong Un shifted from open insults and threats of destruction in 2017 to talk of a special friendship by 2018–2019. Publicly, he moved from calling Kim a “madman” and “Rocket Man” to saying they had exchanged “beautiful letters” and that “we fell in love.”
Thurs, Jan 15, 2026:
A strategy that needs rethinking. The president’s plan for a “Golden Fleet” does not add up. - The Economist
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado met President Donald Trump at the White House as part of her push for greater influence after Nicolas Maduro’s ouster. The meeting comes as Trump has so far thrown his support behind acting President Delcy Rodriguez, and has cast doubt on Machado’s ability to run the country, saying he didn’t believe she had “support” or “respect” in Venezuela. - Bloomberg
TrillionsWeekly Fact Check on support: In the Unitary Platform opposition primary held on 22 October 2023, Machado received roughly 93% of the votes.
Despite Machado’s widespread public support, Donald Trump has allied himself with Maduro’s repressive lieutenant.
Wed, Jan 14, 2026:
Republicans Block Effort to Check Trump’s Power in Venezuela. G.O.P. leaders succeeded in pressuring fellow senators who initially supported the measure that would have limited President Trump’s military authority in Venezuela.- NYT
Congressional Budget Office says Sec. Hegseth’s name change from “Dept. of Defense” to “Dept. of War” could cost as much as $125 million - CBO
TrillionsWeekly comment: The name change itself is illegal and requires a statutory change by Congress. Unfortunately, this Administration routinely violates the law (see our webpage on illegal presidential impoundments and NYTimes recent summary of judicial rulings against the Administration).
US gets first $500 million Venezuelan oil deal, holding some proceeds in Qatar - Semafor
U.S. Races to Sell Venezuelan Oil, Transforming Ties With Former Foe. U.S. officials brokered the sale of hundreds of millions of dollars worth of Venezuelan oil to stabilize the country’s economy after capturing its president. - NYT
Senate Republicans derail effort to rebuke Trump on Venezuela - Politico
Explaining Trump’s Claim That Venezuela ‘Stole’ U.S. Oil - FactCheck.org
Venezuela war powers resolution fails in Senate as 2 Republicans bow to Trump pressure - AP
Sun, Jan 11, 2026:
Fri, Jan 9, 2026:
Thurs, Jan 8, 2026:
The Senate on Thursday voted to advance legislation that would force President Donald Trump to seek congressional approval before taking any new military action in Venezuela, a stunning rebuke for the White House in the first big test of GOP unity since the U.S. capture of President Nicolás Maduro. GOP Sens. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Susan Collins of Maine, Todd Young of Indiana and Josh Hawley of Missouri backed the measure to check Trump in a 52-47 vote. - Politico
Economist Paul Krugman argued that while Venezuela has the world’s largest known oil reserves, it was because heavy oil was reclassified as “proved” oil. He cited economist Torsten Slok, who previously wrote that most of the oil “is extra-heavy, which has low recovery and a high cost to produce.” “This suggests that Venezuela’s claims to have immense usable oil reserves were politically motivated hype,” Krugman continued. - Hill
Fact-Checking Trump’s Justifications for the Venezuela Operation. The president has repeatedly tied Venezuela to drug overdose deaths, claimed the Maduro regime sent an influx of criminal migrants and accused the country of stealing American oil. - NYT
Wed, Jan 7, 2026:
Trump Team Works Up Sweeping Plan to Control Venezuelan Oil for Years to Come - WSJ
Trump Says Venezuela to Send Oil Worth Up to $2.8 Billion to US - Bloomberg
US Seizes Two More Ships as Trump Tightens Venezuela Quarantine -Bloomberg
Hegseth has heated exchange with reporter over cost of Venezuela mission-Hill
Trump proposes massive increase in 2027 defense spending to $1.5T, citing ‘dangerous times’ - AP
$1.5 Trillion Military Budget Would Add $5.8 Trillion to Debt Over Decade - CRFB
Trump Signs Order Pressing Defense Firms to Cut Buybacks - Bloomberg
Tues, Jan 6, 2026:
Mon, Jan 5, 2026:
Sun, Jan 4, 2026:
Sat, Jan 3, 2026:
Congress poised to weigh in on Venezuela campaign - Roll Call
To Trump, on Venezuela: You Break It, You Own It - NYT / Friedman
Trump: US will ‘run’ Venezuela after military mission to nab Maduro. WhiteHouse official refers to mission as ‘law enforcement operation’ - Roll Call
Mon, Dec 29, 2025:
Fri, Dec 26, 2025:
Fri, Dec 19, 2025:
Trump’s doctrine is ‘Make America Small Again’. A hemispheric focus makes little sense for a global economic and military giant. - WP / Zakaria
Thurs, Dec 18, 2025:
Trump will use military housing money for $1,776 Pentagon bonuses - WP
US announces massive package of arms sales to Taiwan valued at more than $10 billion, angering China - AP
Thurs, Dec 11, 2025:
Wed, Dec 10, 2025:
Hill resists as Trump seeks changes to defense spending - Punchbowl News
Why Does Trump Disdain Europe? The domestic culture war informing American foreign policy - Politico
Tues, Dec 9, 2025:
Mon, Dec 8, 2025:
NDAA RELEASED: Lawmakers released a draft of the National Defense Authorization Act, which sets defense-spending policies and priorities. The proposal permits $901bn-worth of spending in fiscal year 2026, $8bn more than Trump requested. The bill reauthorizes $400m in aid for Ukraine, even though the administration has sounded ambivalent about defending the country, most recently in the new National Security Strategy. A separate defense appropriations bill is needed to make the funds available. - The Economist
Fri, Dec 5, 2025:
Donald Trump’s bleak, incoherent foreign-policy strategy. Allies may panic; despots will cheer - The Economist
What to know as lawmakers disclose vivid new details of US boat strikes - AP
Wed, Dec 3, 2025:
Mon, Dec 1, 2025:
Defense policy bill on the move - Roll Call
Leaders of the Armed Services committees are reported to have finished their work on a compromise fiscal 2026 defense policy bill, and bill text is likely to be unveiled this week. House floor consideration could come next week.
Fri, Nov 14, 2025:
Thurs, Nov 13, 2025:
Compromise NDAA on track for December vote - Politico
Wed, Nov 12, 2025:
Seven conflicts to watch in the coming year - Economist
Fri, Oct 31, 2025:
Wed, Oct 22, 2025:
Tues, Oct 21, 2025:
Thurs, Oct 9, 2025:
Senate Passes Bipartisan $925 Billion Defense Policy Bill. The legislation would provide a 3.8 percent pay raise for American troops, while funding weapons and overhauling military procurement. S 2296 passed 77-20 - NYT
Thurs, Oct 2, 2025:
Mon, Sept 29, 2025:
Military leaders have raised serious concerns with the Trump administration’s forthcoming defense strategy, exposing a divide between the Pentagon’s political and uniformed leadership as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth summons top brass to a highly unusual summit in Virginia on Tuesday, according to eight current and former officials. The critiques from multiple top officers, including Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, come as Hegseth reorders U.S. military priorities — centering the Pentagon on perceived threats to the homeland, narrowing U.S. competition with China, and downplaying America’s role in Europe and Africa. - WP
Tues, Sept 23, 2025:
Wed, Sept 17, 2025:
Fri, Sept 5, 2025:
Wed, May 21 2025:
Trump says U.S. has chosen plan for ‘Golden Dome’ missile defense system. The Congressional Budget Office has estimated that deploying and operating just the space-based interceptors could cost up to $542 billion over the next two decades. - WP
Thurs, April 17, 2025:
Fri, April 11, 2025:
Trump May Be Triggering the Fastest Nuclear Weapons Race Since the Cold War; The threat of U.S. withdrawal has prompted countries around the world — from Germany to South Korea — to talk about building their own nuclear arsenals. - Politico
Mon, April 7, 2025:
Sat, March 29, 2025:
Fri, March 28, 2025:
Mon, March 24, 2025:
The Trump Administration Accidentally Texted Me Its War Plans. - The Atlantic/Goldberg
Thurs, March 13, 2025:
Sat, March 8, 2025:
Fri, March 7, 2025:
Thurs, March 6, 2025:
Sat, March 1, 2025:
Fri, Feb 28, 2025:
Zelenskyy’s Meeting with Trump and Vance Unravels into Extraordinary Clash - NBC
(Highlighting the continuing importance of NATO) US intel shows Russia and China attempting to recruit disgruntled federal employees - CNN
Thurs, Feb 27, 2025:
Former defense chiefs denounce Trump’s reckless Pentagon firings; The five former leaders urged Congress to hold the president accountable for what they called his unjustified removal of the Joint Chiefs chairman and other top military officers - WP
Sat, Feb 22, 2025:
Fri, Feb 21, 2025:
Firing military officers for perceived disloyalty endangers the nation. Trump’s removal of the chairman of the Joint Chiefs might only be the beginning. - Senate Armed Services Ranking Dem Reed
Trump ousts Joint Chiefs chair, other leaders in Pentagon shake-up - WP
Pentagon announces it plans to fire 5-8% of civilian workforce; pauses larger firings - CNN
Thurs, Feb 20, 2025:
Europe’s new reality: Trump may not quit NATO, but he’s already undermining it - NYT/Sanger
How Europe must respond as Trump and Putin smash the post-war order - Economist
Wed, Feb 19, 2025:
President Donald Trump and his appointed officials are helping Moscow’s and Beijing’s explicit intentions to replace the U.S.-led international order. If they are successful, China will emerge as the globe’s dominant superpower. - WP/Emanuel
Feb 13, 2025:
Wed, Jan 29, 2025:
Wed, Jan 22, 2025:
Tues, Jan 7, 2025:
Trump says NATO nations should spend 5% of GDP on defense - Bloomberg [Note from TrillionsWeekly.com: the U.S. currently spends only 2.9%, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office]
Mon, Jan 6, 2025:
Wed, Dec 11, 2024:
